Memory Access Violation Tally 7.2

E' come sembra?

The ability to identify the link between cause and effect allows us to assess the reality, to give explanations to events, make predictions about the future and put order in our lives.
Our mind is so used to connect the events, which sometimes makes a mistake ..., finding a causal link in completely random situations.

happens for superstitions, when we attribute the causality of a negative event to the black cat that crossed the road, or when we feel responsible for thinking one thing then he realized, for example, for sending the damn someone who then broke his leg.

The problem is to distinguish the real from the illusory causal connections, as stated in the book Matteo Motterlini "mental traps" (BUR Essays, 2010). How to tell if two events happen one after another are related or independent?

The author explains how our minds, unable to identify the relevant causal relationships, just invented what they expect to observe .
Chita, about a famous experiment that demonstrated 50 years ago as the Rorschach test run on homosexual patients was interpreted by analysts in order to find a correlation between test results and the diagnosis of homosexuality, because it was what you expected to find.

"The danger," according Motterlini, "is to base the entire life on a series of illusory correlations" and end up as "the turkey inductivist" by Bertrand Russell.

Che cosa è successo al tacchino? Vedendosi recapitare il cibo tutte le mattine alle 9 si era convinto che ci fosse una correlazione causale, e rassicurato, aspettava il mangime anche la mattina della vigilia di Natale... ma ebbe una brutta sorpresa...